The Indian official team is visiting the US to give further impetus to the negotiations in the 90-day tariff pause window and discuss these ToRs to iron out differences on certain issues before formally launching talks for the bilateral trade agreement (BTA).
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India’s chief negotiator, Additional Secretary in the Department of Commerce Rajesh Agrawal, will lead the team for the first in-person talks between the two countries. Agrawal was appointed as the next commerce secretary on April 18. He will assume office from October 1.
“Both sides will discuss the level of ambition. The ToRs will be further developed and discussed. What will be the pathway for talks? The ToRs will include issues like tariffs, non-tariff barriers, rules of origin, goods, services, custom facilitation and regulatory issues,” the official said, adding general contours of the pact will be discussed, besides scheduling, so that things can be finalised in 90 days.
Why the India-US Trade Deal Matters
Bilateral trade between India and the US soared to $128 billion in 2022, yet untapped potential remains. The US is India’s largest trading partner, while India ranks as the US’s 9th-largest goods partner. Key exports like pharmaceuticals, IT services, and textiles from India meet robust demand in the US, whereas American machinery, aerospace tech, and agricultural products dominate Indian imports. A structured agreement could amplify these flows, fostering job creation, innovation, and supply chain resilience.
Decoding the 19 Chapters: What’s on the Table?
While specifics of the 19 chapters remain under wraps, insights from past agreements suggest critical focus areas:
Tariff Reductions & Market Access
Streamlining duties on goods like engineering products, textiles, and agricultural commodities to boost trade volume.
Digital Trade & E-Commerce
Frameworks for data localization, cross-border data flows, and digital taxation to empower tech giants and startups alike.
Intellectual Property (IP) Rights
Balancing US demands for stringent IP protections with India’s generic pharmaceuticals sector and affordable healthcare goals.
Agriculture & Dairy
Addressing US market access for Indian mangoes, grapes, and dairy products while navigating India’s sensitivity over farm subsidies.
Services & Mobility
Easier visa norms for Indian professionals and mutual recognition of qualifications in sectors like IT, healthcare, and engineering.
Potential Benefits: A Win-Win for Both Economies
For India:
Enhanced access to US markets for textiles, agriculture, and auto components.
Technology transfers in defense, AI, and clean energy.
Strengthened “Make in India” initiatives via foreign direct investment (FDI).
For the US:
Reduced trade deficit through increased exports of aerospace, LNG, and machinery.
Leveraging India’s tech talent to counterbalance China’s supply chain dominance.
Agricultural exporters gain foothold in India’s 1.4 billion-consumer market.
Challenges & Roadblocks
Historical friction points loom:
Tariff Wars: Past US tariffs on Indian steel and India’s retaliatory duties on almonds and apples.
IP Disputes: US push for extended drug patents vs. India’s generic medicine ecosystem.
The Road Ahead: What to Watch
As talks progress, monitor:
Speed vs. Depth: Will both nations prioritize a limited deal or opt for a sweeping agreement?
Geopolitical Alignment: How the deal complements the Indo-Pacific strategy and QUAD collaborations.
Domestic Politics: India’s 2024 elections and US bipartisan support could influence timelines.
Conclusion: A Pivotal Moment for Global Trade
The April 23 India-US trade talks signal more than an economic pact—they represent a strategic alliance against rising global uncertainties. By addressing the 19 chapters with agility and foresight, both nations can craft a template for 21st-century trade agreements. Stay tuned for updates as these negotiations unfold, reshaping the future of international commerce.